Mbius EckoSeptember 9, 2014 at 8:17 pm Theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. From what I have heard from non-Anglo News Sources, this may already be the case. China's murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. Subscribe to ADM Premium. Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. [9] Ezra Vogel. Australians must never forget how the 14 conditions delivered to Australia by China would change this nation forever. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jacqui-lambie-refuses-to-apologise-for-warning-of-chinese-invasion/story-fn59niix-1227038207396. The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. And the gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than enough to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds. New York: Free Press, 1992. The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . I thought, Censorship is never innocent, made worse for its strained good intentions. Among them are the following (but not necessarily in this exact order): The ADF is a highly trained and combat experienced battle force, which continuously invests in acquiring advanced military capabilities that enable it to operate across all current and emerging battle domains. The PLAN is still in the process of mastering out-of-area major battle group deployments. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. For Russia, China and India this looks like a win/win. The evidence is Americas slow reaction to commenting on and having a greater involvement in the South China Sea tensions in a more immediate manner which is in direct contrast to its role in the Cold War years. Free registration to the ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the latest in the business of defence. [6] Paul Monk. As part of national preparedness response options at strategic, operational and tactical levels need to be considered. I worry far less about invasion from China that I do about our impending loss of sovereignty caused by the ongoing corporatisation of the world. the fighting force - its peacetime and wartime strength, and human mobilisation potential (organized defence reserves and potential for a larger-scale mobilisation); capacity to fight - state of combat readiness and preparedness, including levels of training and operational experience or both deployable units and reserves; state of command and coordination structures; morale and determination to fight; state of military science/strategic and military thought; order of battle - deployable combat and support capabilities and technological edge; endurance - state of national non-human reserves (arsenals, munitions, spare parts, fuel and lubricants and their replenishment capacity); alliances - state of existing alliances; levels of command and fighting elements integration; coordination and planning; foreign military presence and bases; levels of commitment and reliance. An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. Central banks and trading firms that now hold 60% of their reserves in dollar-denominated bonds would have to rebalance by converting dollars to those other currencies. It is unlikely that the PLA will risk using its ageing strategic bomber force as a long-range offensive asset against Australia. Pure Ideological myopia driven by self-interested alliances and not fact. Also our most northern city, Darwin (or Wolf Creek) is a complete joke ! That's according to Dr Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), who is an expert on defence strategy and capability issues. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. Similarly, the PLAs Airborne Corps lack air lift capacity for long distance air assault operations. [4] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 19 August,, 2014. The Battle of Guadalcanal (ie, Solomon Islands) between August 1942 and February 1942 was the first major land offensive undertaken by the Allied forces, including Australia and the US, against Japan, resulting in over 26,000 deaths and the loss of 57 warships and almost 1,300 aircraft. The problems that will influence the US lack of enthusiasm to intervene in the A-P will range from the sheer distance from the US and of it being a China-controlled environment; intractable domestic and regional dealings with Mexico and the South Americas associated with drugs, migration and political trends; the combined economic, geo-political and in some cases geo-strategic influences of what has become colloquially known as the BRICS, (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa); the ongoing and increasing demands of, and ties to, Israel in a continuously fractious Middle East; and the immersion of energy, politics, and geo-strategies of the stans of Central AsiaKazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. As for Jacqui Lambie how could anyone believe her statements or take them too seriously shes a very loose cannon, and I wouldnt be surprised if the PUP somehow bids her goodbye in the not too distant future. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. Acknowledging the obvious generalizations that are present in the political deliberations and in the comments of Senator Lambie, there is a need to examine what is pushing the underlying tone of the debate, and then driving the discussion. This in turn has allowed the US to build a global military empire, a cradle-to-grave entitlement system, and a credit-based consumer culture, without having to worry about where to find the funds. ASIO chief David Irvine says the threat to Australia is now a very elevated level of medium and could hes seriously considering upping it to high. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: Your email address will not be published. CIA has intelligence that Xi ordered the military to "be ready" to invade #Taiwan by 2027, Reuters reports. *chuckle*. Their own currencies gain prestige, giving their governments more political and military muscle. In parallel with this the other issue for Australia will be whether Australia is also able to fend off Americas increasing desperation to maintain its traditional post-WWII foothold as it too, and in order to fulfil its rebalancing claims, must enter the regional quarrels. Its attempts to economically coerce Australia into its geopolitical orbit should disturb. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. At any rate Australia is in trouble. All of the its fighting elements are in the process of qualitative force transformations, which would continue to provide the ADFs operators with the technological edge. Reported suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $6 billion. It would be the nightmare from hell to contain. In that effort, China "really got a bloody nose, it was not a very successful operation," director of the Asia program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States Bonnie Glaser said. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. Who cares as long as we have god on our side, and Captain Catholic. You can upload: image, , video, , spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, , . After all its our back yard. For Australia the decisions that will have to be made, in order to totally avoid an outbreak of war one in which Australia for all intent and purposes will inevitably lose and one that would encourage a ground invasion by Chinese forces is where to place China as these regional machinations increase? By 2001 Western Europe comprised 6.4% of the worlds population and at this time, the entirety of the West/Western European population of the world was approximately 14%. Strategically, Washingtons reliability as a security guarantor is the core of the issue. A superior military air force could, in effect, control all of Western Australias resources in the Pilbara and the North West Shelf gas reserves.. This is especially daunting for Taiwan, as it is unclear whether it can get help from anyone else if, or when, the time comes. This has been done with unconditional fiscal contributions (loans). I agree wholeheartedly Trevor, though I cant see things changing unless Australia disengages from the US and makes its own waywe will be drawn into a conflict at the behest of the US, if only to test Chinas repose and manoeuvrings. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. There is no reason to think that if Australia continues on its current pathway of antagonism in the region especially toward Muslim countries that there would be enough impetus for China to believe a limited invasion would not be successful. Or so it seems. That sounds frightening!!! [8] Gabriel Kolko. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". Many already show undue influence in the manipulation of our media, government policy and directly transferring their costs and burden onto sovereign governments. Even if an invasion of mainland Australia is a remote possibility, displaying an enhanced capacity to defend the mainland is an effective deterrent in its own right. Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. And moreover, for the US Australia would not be the only game in town. Reflecting on this statement, a significant part of the reason the US lost the Vietnam War is that it was not the only game in town[13] as it was beset with domestic civil strife, had ongoing issues with the Soviet Union-Cuba alliance, and had European Cold War commitments as well as the space race. An Australia-China conflict will also adhere to the not the only game in town principle for the US and for Australians to believe that the US will see a conflict in the A-P region as important enough to warrant an immediate response is simply wrong. http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. I wonder why the Chinese are bulding the bases in the south china sea now. In the process of the IRs momentum the British government had to meet ever greater demands from its populace. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. Could you imagine well funded gorilla network in Australia. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. What the hell have we done? This is the stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and mineral assets. Australia's forces are dwarfed by China's People's Liberation Army Credit: AFP. What am I missing? It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. Daily Star Online has contacted United Australia Party for comment. So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. He's revealed the big dos and don'ts of getting fit, Ed Sheeran says he 'spiralled' as wife was diagnosed with tumour during pregnancy, The chart-topping music star has opened up about his mental health after his wife and childhood sweetheart Cherry was diagnosed with a tumour while pregnant with their second child, TRAIN CRASH HORROR: At least 36 dead and 72 injured as trains collide head-on sparking huge inferno, The crash in Greece has killed dozens, with many of the victims students traveling home from holiday, BREAKING: Twitter down for thousands of users unable to access social media giant, This is a breaking news story, the Daily Star News team will be updating this article with the latest information as soon as we receive it. National preparedness response options at strategic, operational and tactical levels need to be considered dont we. Geopolitical orbit should disturb reputation for kicking but when we are down value more enough... 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